That inflow of 700,000 migrants does not include the inflow of many illegal immigrants, the inflow of people who overstay their visas, nor the back-and-forth flow of roughly two million white-collar and blue-collar temporary workers, nor the legal immigrant inflow that has been about one million per year, even as 3.8 million new Americans were born during the same period.
Why I'm Leaving California
https://townhall.com/columnists/benshapiro/2020/09/30/why-im-leaving-california-n2577179
My family
and my company are leaving California.
It's heartbreaking.
My parents moved to California four decades ago. I grew up
here. For 33 of the 36 years I've spent on this planet, I've lived here. I was
born at St. Joseph's in Burbank; I attended elementary school at Edison
Elementary; I went to college at UCLA. I co-founded a major media company here,
with 75 employees in Los Angeles. I met my wife here; all three of my kids are
native Californians.
This is the most beautiful state in the country. The climate
is incredible. The scenery is amazing. The people are generally warm, and
there's an enormous amount to do.
And we're leaving.
We're leaving because all the benefits of
California have steadily eroded -- and then suddenly collapsed. Meanwhile, all
the costs of California have steadily increased -- and then suddenly
skyrocketed. It can be difficult to spot the incremental encroachment of a
terrible disease, but once the final ravages set in, it becomes obvious that
the illness is fatal. So, too, with California, where bad governance has turned
a would-be paradise into a burgeoning dystopia.
When my family moved to North Hollywood, I was 11. We lived
in a safe, clean suburb. Yes, Los Angeles had serious crime and homelessness
problems, but those were problems relegated to pockets of the city -- problems
that, with good governance, we thought could eventually be healed. Instead, the
government allowed those problems to metastasize. As of 2011, Los Angeles
County counted less than 40,000 homeless; as of 2020, that number had
skyrocketed to 66,000. Suburban areas have become the sites of homeless encampments.
Nearly every city underpass hosts a tent city; the city, in its kindness, has
put out port-a-potties to reduce the possibility of COVID-19 spread.
Police
are forbidden in most cases from either moving transients or even moving their
garbage. Nearly every public space in Los Angeles has become a repository for
open waste, needles and trash. The most beautiful areas of Los Angeles, from
Santa Monica beach to my suburb, have become wrecks. My children have
personally witnessed drug use, public urination and public nudity. Looters were
allowed free reign in the middle of the city during the Black Lives Matter
riots; Rodeo Drive was closed at 1 p.m., and citizens were curfewed at 6 p.m.
To combat these trends, local and state governments have
gamed the statistics, reclassifying offenses and letting prisoners go free.
Meanwhile, the police have become targets for public ire. In July, the city of
Los Angeles slashed police funding, cutting the force to its lowest levels in
over a decade.
At the same time, taxes have risen.
California's top marginal income tax rate is now 13.3%; legislators want to
raise it to 16.8%. California is also home to a 7.25% sales tax, a 50-cent gas
tax and a bevy of other taxes that drain the wallet and burden business. California has the worst regulatory
climate in America, according to CEO Magazine's survey of 650 CEOs. The
public-sector unions essentially make public policy, running up the debt while
providing fewer and fewer actual services. California's
public education system is a massive failure, and even its once-great colleges
are now burdened by the stupidities of political correctness, including an
unwillingness to use standardized testing.
And
still, the state legislature is dominated by Democrats. California is not on a
trajectory toward recovery; it is on a trajectory toward oblivion. Taxpayers
are moving out -- now including my family and my company. In 2019, before the pandemic and the widespread rioting
and looting, outmigration jumped 38%, rising for the seventh straight year.
That number will increase again this year.
I want my kids to grow up safe. I want them to grow up in a
community with a future, with more freedom and safety than I grew up with.
California makes that impossible. So, goodbye, Golden State. Thanks for the
memories.
Ben Shapiro, 36, is a graduate of UCLA and Harvard Law School, host of "The Ben Shapiro Show" and editor-in-chief of DailyWire.com. He is the author of the No. 1 New York Times bestseller "The Right Side of History." He lives with his wife and three children in Los Angeles.
Migrants Flooded the Border in 2019 — Census Bureau Claims
the Inflow Dropped
The Census Bureau claims that
immigration dropped to just 595,000 people in the 12 months up to mid-2019, but
the estimate is built on conflicting data, said Steven Camarota, a statistician
at the Center for Immigration Studies.
“Net immigration is a very hard
thing to measure because there is so much sampling variability” amid continued
arrivals and departures, he said, adding that President Donald Trump’s
pro-American policies may be prompting illegal migrants to evade surveys.
The bureau’s conflicting
migrant population estimates are hidden under the bureau’s claim that the nation’s
population rose by just 0.5 percent from July 2018 to July 2019, up to 328
million. The number is low partly because the bureau says the resident
population of legal and illegal migrants rose by only 595,000 during the year
up to July 2019.
But the Department of Homeland
Security reported that 700,000 migrants crossed the southeastern border in the
nine months before July 2019. The vast majority of those Central American
migrants were allowed to stay pending their eventual asylum hearings.
That inflow of 700,000 migrants
does not include the inflow of many illegal immigrants, the inflow of people
who overstay their visas, nor the back-and-forth flow of roughly two million white-collar and blue-collar temporary
workers, nor the legal immigrant inflow that has been about one million per year, even as 3.8
million new Americans were born during the same period.
Trump sharply reduced the flow
of border migrants in the second half of 2019 and may have reduced the number
of new overstays and new illegals. But Congress and business have blocked his
2018 efforts to shrink legal immigration.
Business groups and investors want the federal
government to stimulate their economic growth and stock values by adding more immigrant workers and more consumers. Faster population growth
means higher forecasts for economic consumption, sales, housing prices, and
profits, thus boosting the value of stock prices on Wall Street.
So business groups are touting
the bureau’s new low-ball estimate to demand even more migration. For example,
the New York Times portrayed the bureau’s new claim of
slow immigrant growth as bad for investors and the economy:
William H. Frey, a noted demographer and senior fellow at the Brookings
Institution, said in an interview Monday
that the percentage increase was the lowest in a century. The growth rate
during the most recent decade, about 6.7 percent, is expected to be the lowest
since the government started taking population counts around 1790, he said.
“This is a huge downturn in the
nation’s growth,” Mr. Frey said. “This is even lower than the Great
Depression.”
Census watchers say that one of
the biggest reasons for the stagnancy of the population is the decrease in the
number of new immigrants. a trend that has continued through President Trump’s
first three years in office.
…
“The immigration is really the
[economic] safety valve for us going forward,” Mr. Frey said of population
growth. “I think that immigration is an important part of what we have to think
about going forward.”
In contrast, wage-earning
Americans gain from a reduced migrant inflow. Any declines in worker population
pressure employers to compete for new employees by offering higher wages and by
training sidelined Americans. The slower population growth also allows young
Americans to migrate to good jobs in other regions, and to buy homes in good
locations at lower costs. Slower population growth also forces employers to buy
labor-saving machines to allow employees to earn more by getting more work done
each day.
Those changes also mean that
slower population growth — via lower births or reduced immigration — also tends
to transfer wealth from older investors back to young wage-earners. “Throughout
American history, even during the Great Depression, business always says they
don’t have enough workers,” said Camarota, adding:
That’s true today
as well – [because] they always want to keep wages down [and] they have an
[economic] interest in an ever-more densely populated America. Whether that is
in the interest of the American people already here that is a different
question.
Almost 50% of U.S. employees got higher wages in 2019, up from almost 40% in 2018.
That's useful progress - but wage growth will likely rise faster if Congress
stopped inflating the labor supply for the benefit of business. http://bit.ly/2SyaLg7
Pay Raises and Training Expand in Donald Trump's
Tight Labor Market
44
people are talking about this
However, the Associated Press pushed the same pro-migration, pro-growth theme. “Immigration is a wildcard in that it is something we can do
something about,” Frey said. “Immigrants tend to be younger and have children,
and they can make a population younger.”
“Immigration is no
fix for an aging society,” said Camarota. “The immigrants grow old, and
they don’t have that many children.” Currently, “everybody has got
low fertility … and the fertility of young immigrants has declined more than
the fertility of natives,” he said.
Some of the
population data is easy to count accurately. For example, government agencies
and hospitals reported just 3,791,712 births and 2,835,038 deaths in 2019,
so boosting the native-born population by only 956,674.
But estimates for immigration
are far more difficult, said Camarota.
For example, the two Census
Bureau population-tracking estimates lag far behind the news.
In November, the bureau released
its 2018 American Community Survey that excluded data from the second half of
2018 and all of 2019. So the 2018 report missed the inflow of roughly 800,000
migrants across the border in 2019 as it reported that 1.45 million new
legal and illegal immigrants settled in the United States during 2017.
The estimated 1.45 million
immigrant inflow in 2017 is down from 1.75 million migrants in 2016 and the
1.62 million migrants in 2015, but it was also more than any year between
2002 to 2013.
Alongside the ACS, the bureau
also releases the Current Population Survey (CPS). It “showed a significantly
larger total number of [legal and illegal] immigrants in 2018 (45.8 million)
vs. the total shown in the ACS (44.7 million),” said a November analysis by Camarota.
“A recent news story in
the New York Times announced
that growth in the immigrant population “Slows to a Trickle,” said an October report by CIS, which explained:
An op-ed in the Times a few weeks later
went even further, mistakenly interpreting the earlier report as meaning that “immigration fell 70%”
in the last year. The writers interpret this as the result of President Trump’s
immigration policy changes.
But it is not clear that any
slowdown in immigration has actually taken place.
First, growth in the immigrant
population does not measure new arrivals; immigrants come and go, so the net
change in the total is not the same as the annual number of new arrivals.
More important, though, is that
the two Census Bureau surveys that measure the foreign-born have recently
diverged in unexpected ways. The Times news
story correctly reports the results of one of those data sources, the American
Community Survey (ACS), showing a growth of 200,000 immigrants. But the other
data source, the Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic
Supplement (CPS ASEC, or just CPS for short), shows an increase of 1.6 million
in the immigrant population between 2017 and 2018 – quite the opposite of
“slowing to a trickle”.
These annual differences
produce larger differences over several years, said the CIS report:
In terms of growth, the ACS
shows a 4.8 million increase from 2010 to 2018 in the immigrant population,
while the [2018] CPS shows a 6.9 million increase over the same period. The
just-released 2019 CPS shows an increase of 7.3 million since 2010 …
From 2015 to 2019, growth in
the immigrant population averaged one million in the CPS, while in the ACS it
averaged 600,000 from 2015 to 2018 (Figure 1 and Table 1).
NYT's Tom Edsall says Trump's
immigration-reform voters are 'snakes and vermin.'
Edsall usually tries to understand ordinary Americans' concerns. But he &
his elite peers live in a bubble & just don't see immigration's huge
economic damage to Americans.http://bit.ly/2YQO7Aq
NYT Columnist: American 'Snakes and Vermin' Support
Trump's Immigration Policy
53
people are talking about this
The swearing-in of new citizens
also lags,he Census Bureau reports. The naturalization data show that a record
number of immigrants became citizens — and possible voters — in 2019:
Acting Deputy
Secretary Ken Cuccinelli
11 year high! @realDonaldTrump and his administration are pro-LEGAL immigration, while being tough on
ILLEGAL immigration. https://twitter.com/USCIS/status/1211693430562275328 …
151
people are talking about this
EconomyImmigrationPoliticsCensusH-1BmigrationPopulation
“The
figures show that the majority of California's growth will be in the
Latino population, said Dowell Myers, a professor of urban planning
and demography at USC, adding that "68% of the growth this
decade will be Latino, 75% next and 80% after that.”
"When
we hear stories about the homelessness in California and elsewhere, why don't
we hear how illegal aliens contribute to the problem? They take jobs
and affordable housing, yet instead of discouraging illegal aliens from
breaking the law, politicians encourage them to come by lavishing free stuff on
them with confiscated dollars from this and future
generations." JACK HELLNER
“Extensive research by
economists like George Borjas and analyst Steven Camarota reveals that the
country’s current mass legal immigration system burdens U.S. taxpayers and
America’s working and middle class while redistributing about $500 billion in wealth every year to
major employers and newly arrived immigrants. Similarly, research has revealed
how Americans’ wages are crushed by the country’s high
immigration levels.” JOHN BINDER
CALIFORNIA'S POPULATION TO DOUBLE
from ILLEGALS along with their CRIME
RATES!
Times Staff Writers
Over the next
half-century, California's
population will
explode by nearly 75%, and
Riverside will surpass
its bigger neighbors to
become the second most
populous county after
Los Angeles, according to
state Department of
Finance projections
released Monday.
California will near
the 60-million mark in 2050, the study found, raising questions about how
the state will look and function and where all the people and their cars will
go. Dueling visions pit the iconic California building block of ranch house,
big yard and two-car garage against more dense, high-rise development. But
whether sprawl or skyscrapers win the day, the Golden State will probably be a
far different and more complex place than it is today, as people live longer
and Latinos become the dominant ethnic group, eclipsing all others combined.
Some critics forecast disaster if gridlock and environmental impacts are not
averted. Others see a possible economic boon, particularly for retailers and
service industries with an eye on the state as a burgeoning market. "It's
opportunity with baggage," said Jack Kyser, chief economist for the Los
Angeles County Economic Development Corp., in "a country masquerading as a
state. "Other demographers argue that the huge population increase the
state predicts will occur only if officials complete major improvements to
roads and other public infrastructure. Without that investment, they say, some
Californians would flee the state. If the finance department's calculations
hold, California's population will rise from 34.1 million in 2000 to 59.5
million at the mid-century point, about the same number of people as Italy has
today. And its projected growth rate in those 50 years will outstrip the
national rate — nearly 75% compared with less than 50% projected by the federal
government. That could translate to increased political clout in Washington,
D.C. Southern California's population is projected to grow at a rate of more
than 60%, according to the new state figures, reaching 31.6 million by
mid-century. That's an increase of 12.1 million over just seven counties. L.A.
County alone will top 13 million by 2050, an increase of almost 3.5 million
residents. And Riverside County — long among the fastest-growing in the state —
will triple in population to 4.7 million by mid-century. Riverside County will
add 3.1 million people, according to the new state figures, eclipsing Orange
and San Diego to become the second most populous in the state. With less
expensive housing than the coast, Riverside County has grown by more than
472,000 residents since 2000, according to state estimates. No matter how much
local governments build in the way of public works and how many new jobs are
attracted to the region — minimizing the need for long commutes — Housing
figures that growth will still overwhelm the area's roads. USC Professor
Genevieve Giuliano, an expert on land use and transportation, would probably
agree. Such massive growth, if it occurs, she said, will require huge
investment in the state's highways, schools, and energy and sewer systems at a
"very formidable cost."If those things aren't built, Giuliano
questioned whether the projected population increases will occur. "Sooner
or later, the region will not be competitive and the growth is not going to
happen," she said.If major problems like traffic congestion and housing
costs aren't addressed, Giuliano warned, the middle class is going to exit
California, leaving behind very high-income and very low-income residents.
"It's a political question," said Martin Wachs, a transportation
expert at the Rand Corp. in Santa Monica. "Do we have the will, the
consensus, the willingness to pay? If we did, I think we could manage the
growth. "The numbers released Monday underscore most demographers' view
that the state's population is pushing east, from both Los Angeles and the Bay
Area, to counties such as Riverside and San Bernardino as well as half a dozen
or so smaller Central Valley counties. Sutter County, for example, is expected
to be the fastest-growing on a percentage basis between 2000 and 2050, jumping
255% to a population of 282,894 , the state said. Kern County is expected to
see its population more than triple to 2.1 million by mid-century. In Southern
California, San Diego County is projected to grow by almost 1.7 million
residents and Orange County by 1.1 million. Even Ventura County — where voters
have imposed some limits on urban sprawl — will see its population jump 62% to
more than 1.2 million if the projections hold. The Department of Finance
releases long-term population projections every three years. Between the last
two reports, number crunchers have taken a more detailed look at California's
statistics and taken into account the likelihood that people will live longer,
said chief demographer Mary Heim. The result? The latest numbers figure the
state will be much more crowded than earlier estimates (by nearly 5 million)
and that it will take a bit longer than previously thought for Latinos to
become the majority of California's population: 2042, not 2038. The figures
show that the majority
of California's growth
will be in the Latino population, said
Dowell Myers, a professor
of urban planning and demography
at USC, adding that
"68% of the growth this decade will be
Latino, 75% next and 80%
after that."That should be a wake-up call for voting Californians, Myers
said, pointing out a critical disparity. Though the state's growth is young and
Latino, the majority of voters will be older and white — at least for the next
decade." The future of the state is Latino growth," Myers said.
"We'd sure better invest in them and get them up to speed. Older white
voters don't see it that way. They don't realize that someone has to replace
them in the work force, pay for their benefits and buy their house."
MULTI-CULTURALISM and the
creation of a one-party globalist country to serve the rich in America’s open
borders.
http://mexicanoccupation.blogspot.com/2017/12/em-cadwaladr-impending-death-of.html
“Open border advocates, such as Facebook's Mark Zuckerberg, claim illegal
aliens are a net benefit to California with little evidence to support such an
assertion. As the CIS has documented, the vast majority of illegals are poor,
uneducated, and with few skills. How does accepting millions of illegal aliens
and then granting them access to dozens of welfare programs benefit
California’s economy? If illegals were contributing to the economy in any
meaningful way, CA, with its 2.6 million illegals, would be booming.” STEVE
BALDWIN – AMERICAN SPECTATOR
CHRISTIAN SCIENCE MONITOR
What will America stand for in 2050?
http://www.csmonitor.com/2009/0528/p09s01-coop.html
The US should think long and hard about the high number of
Latino immigrants.
By Lawrence Harrison
It's not just a
short-run issue of immigrants competing with citizens for jobs as unemployment
approaches 10 percent or the number of uninsured straining the quality of
healthcare. Heavy immigration from Latin America threatens our cohesiveness as a
nation.
MEXICO WILL DOUBLE U.S.
POPULATION
By Tom Barrett
At the current rate of
invasion (mostly through Mexico, but also through Canada) the United States
will be completely over run with illegal aliens by the year 2025. I’m not
talking about legal immigrants who follow US law to become citizens. In less
than 20 years, if we do not stop the invasion, ILLEGAL aliens and their
offspring will be the dominant population in the United States.
http://mexicanoccupation.blogspot.com/2018/07/mexico-will-double-us-population.html
FINISHING AMERICA OFF: THE
FOREIGN INVASION FOR “CHEAP” LABOR
http://mexicanoccupation.blogspot.com/2018/09/the-fall-of-america-by-invitation-tens.html
Open the floodgates of our
welfare state to the uneducated, impoverished, and unskilled masses of the
world and in a generation or three America, as we know it, will be gone. JOHN
BINDER
But many
less-skilled migrants play their largest role by simply shifting small slices
of wealth from person to person, for example, by competing up rents in their
neighborhood or by competing down wages in their workplace. The crudest
examples can be seen in agriculture.
Overall, the
Washington-imposed economic policy of economic growth via immigration shifts wealth
from young people towards older people by flooding the market
with cheap white-collar and blue-collar foreign labor.
"Critics argue that
giving amnesty to 12 to 30 million illegal aliens in the U.S. would have an
immediate negative impact on America’s working and middle class — specifically
black Americans and the white working class — who would be in direct
competition for blue-collar jobs with the largely low-skilled illegal alien
population." JOHN BINDER
The
U.S.-born baby is, of course, a U.S. citizen, whose illegal alien parents are
eligible to receive, on the baby’s behalf, food stamps, nutrition from the
Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) program, and numerous tax benefits,
including the EITC.
Most
importantly, the newborn is deportation insurance for its parents. Illegal
aliens facing deportation can argue that to deport one or more parents would
create an “extreme hardship” for the new baby. If an immigration officer
agrees, we’ve added a new adult to the nation’s population. At age 21 the former
birthright citizen baby can formally apply for green cards for parents and
siblings, and they, in turn, can start their own immigration chains.
US now has
more Spanish speakers than Spain – only Mexico has more
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/jun/29/us-second-biggest-spanish-speaking-country
·
US has 41 million native
speakers plus 11 million who are bilingual
·
New Mexico, California, Texas
and Arizona have highest concentrations
Migrants Flooded the Border in 2019 — Census Bureau Claims
the Inflow Dropped
31 Dec 2019196
8:53
The Census Bureau claims that
immigration dropped to just 595,000 people in the 12 months up to mid-2019, but
the estimate is built on conflicting data, said Steven Camarota, a statistician
at the Center for Immigration Studies.
“Net immigration is a very hard
thing to measure because there is so much sampling variability” amid continued
arrivals and departures, he said, adding that President Donald Trump’s
pro-American policies may be prompting illegal migrants to evade surveys.
The bureau’s conflicting
migrant population estimates are hidden under the bureau’s claim that the nation’s
population rose by just 0.5 percent from July 2018 to July 2019, up to 328
million. The number is low partly because the bureau says the resident
population of legal and illegal migrants rose by only 595,000 during the year
up to July 2019.
But the Department of Homeland
Security reported that 700,000 migrants crossed the southeastern border in the
nine months before July 2019. The vast majority of those Central American
migrants were allowed to stay pending their eventual asylum hearings.
That inflow of 700,000 migrants
does not include the inflow of many illegal immigrants, the inflow of people
who overstay their visas, nor the back-and-forth flow of roughly two million white-collar and blue-collar temporary
workers, nor the legal immigrant inflow that has been about one million per year, even as 3.8
million new Americans were born during the same period.
Trump sharply reduced the flow
of border migrants in the second half of 2019 and may have reduced the number
of new overstays and new illegals. But Congress and business have blocked his
2018 efforts to shrink legal immigration.
Business groups and investors want the federal
government to stimulate their economic growth and stock values by adding more immigrant workers and more consumers. Faster population growth
means higher forecasts for economic consumption, sales, housing prices, and
profits, thus boosting the value of stock prices on Wall Street.
So business groups are touting
the bureau’s new low-ball estimate to demand even more migration. For example,
the New York Times portrayed the bureau’s new claim of
slow immigrant growth as bad for investors and the economy:
William H. Frey, a noted demographer and senior fellow at the Brookings
Institution, said in an interview Monday
that the percentage increase was the lowest in a century. The growth rate
during the most recent decade, about 6.7 percent, is expected to be the lowest
since the government started taking population counts around 1790, he said.
“This is a huge downturn in the
nation’s growth,” Mr. Frey said. “This is even lower than the Great
Depression.”
Census watchers say that one of
the biggest reasons for the stagnancy of the population is the decrease in the
number of new immigrants. a trend that has continued through President Trump’s
first three years in office.
…
“The immigration is really the
[economic] safety valve for us going forward,” Mr. Frey said of population
growth. “I think that immigration is an important part of what we have to think
about going forward.”
In contrast, wage-earning
Americans gain from a reduced migrant inflow. Any declines in worker population
pressure employers to compete for new employees by offering higher wages and by
training sidelined Americans. The slower population growth also allows young
Americans to migrate to good jobs in other regions, and to buy homes in good
locations at lower costs. Slower population growth also forces employers to buy
labor-saving machines to allow employees to earn more by getting more work done
each day.
Those changes also mean that
slower population growth — via lower births or reduced immigration — also tends
to transfer wealth from older investors back to young wage-earners. “Throughout
American history, even during the Great Depression, business always says they
don’t have enough workers,” said Camarota, adding:
That’s true today
as well – [because] they always want to keep wages down [and] they have an
[economic] interest in an ever-more densely populated America. Whether that is
in the interest of the American people already here that is a different
question.
Almost 50% of U.S. employees got higher
wages in 2019, up from almost 40% in 2018.
That's useful progress - but wage growth will likely rise faster if Congress
stopped inflating the labor supply for the benefit of business. http://bit.ly/2SyaLg7
Pay Raises and Training Expand in Donald Trump's
Tight Labor Market
44
people are talking about this
However, the Associated Press pushed the same pro-migration, pro-growth theme. “Immigration is a wildcard in that it is something we can do
something about,” Frey said. “Immigrants tend to be younger and have children,
and they can make a population younger.”
“Immigration is no
fix for an aging society,” said Camarota. “The immigrants grow old, and
they don’t have that many children.” Currently, “everybody has got
low fertility … and the fertility of young immigrants has declined more than
the fertility of natives,” he said.
Some of the
population data is easy to count accurately. For example, government agencies
and hospitals reported just 3,791,712 births and 2,835,038 deaths in 2019,
so boosting the native-born population by only 956,674.
But estimates for immigration
are far more difficult, said Camarota.
For example, the two Census
Bureau population-tracking estimates lag far behind the news.
In November, the bureau released
its 2018 American Community Survey that excluded data from the second half of
2018 and all of 2019. So the 2018 report missed the inflow of roughly 800,000
migrants across the border in 2019 as it reported that 1.45 million new
legal and illegal immigrants settled in the United States during 2017.
The estimated 1.45 million
immigrant inflow in 2017 is down from 1.75 million migrants in 2016 and the
1.62 million migrants in 2015, but it was also more than any year between
2002 to 2013.
Alongside the ACS, the bureau
also releases the Current Population Survey (CPS). It “showed a significantly
larger total number of [legal and illegal] immigrants in 2018 (45.8 million)
vs. the total shown in the ACS (44.7 million),” said a November analysis by Camarota.
“A recent news story in
the New York Times announced
that growth in the immigrant population “Slows to a Trickle,” said an October report by CIS, which explained:
An op-ed in the Times a few weeks later
went even further, mistakenly interpreting the earlier report as meaning that “immigration fell 70%”
in the last year. The writers interpret this as the result of President Trump’s
immigration policy changes.
But it is not clear that any
slowdown in immigration has actually taken place.
First, growth in the immigrant
population does not measure new arrivals; immigrants come and go, so the net
change in the total is not the same as the annual number of new arrivals.
More important, though, is that
the two Census Bureau surveys that measure the foreign-born have recently
diverged in unexpected ways. The Times news
story correctly reports the results of one of those data sources, the American
Community Survey (ACS), showing a growth of 200,000 immigrants. But the other
data source, the Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic
Supplement (CPS ASEC, or just CPS for short), shows an increase of 1.6 million
in the immigrant population between 2017 and 2018 – quite the opposite of
“slowing to a trickle”.
These annual differences
produce larger differences over several years, said the CIS report:
In terms of growth, the ACS
shows a 4.8 million increase from 2010 to 2018 in the immigrant population,
while the [2018] CPS shows a 6.9 million increase over the same period. The
just-released 2019 CPS shows an increase of 7.3 million since 2010 …
From 2015 to 2019, growth in
the immigrant population averaged one million in the CPS, while in the ACS it
averaged 600,000 from 2015 to 2018 (Figure 1 and Table 1).
NYT's Tom Edsall says Trump's
immigration-reform voters are 'snakes and vermin.'
Edsall usually tries to understand ordinary Americans' concerns. But he &
his elite peers live in a bubble & just don't see immigration's huge
economic damage to Americans.http://bit.ly/2YQO7Aq
NYT Columnist: American 'Snakes and Vermin' Support
Trump's Immigration Policy
53
people are talking about this
The swearing-in of new citizens
also lags,he Census Bureau reports. The naturalization data show that a record
number of immigrants became citizens — and possible voters — in 2019:
Acting Deputy
Secretary Ken Cuccinelli
11 year high! @realDonaldTrump and his administration are pro-LEGAL immigration, while being tough on
ILLEGAL immigration. https://twitter.com/USCIS/status/1211693430562275328 …
151
people are talking about this
EconomyImmigrationPoliticsCensusH-1BmigrationPopulation
“The
figures show that the majority of California's growth will be in the
Latino population, said Dowell Myers, a professor of urban planning
and demography at USC, adding that "68% of the growth this
decade will be Latino, 75% next and 80% after that.”
"When
we hear stories about the homelessness in California and elsewhere, why don't
we hear how illegal aliens contribute to the problem? They take jobs
and affordable housing, yet instead of discouraging illegal aliens from
breaking the law, politicians encourage them to come by lavishing free stuff on
them with confiscated dollars from this and future
generations." JACK HELLNER
“Extensive research by
economists like George Borjas and analyst Steven Camarota reveals that the
country’s current mass legal immigration system burdens U.S. taxpayers and
America’s working and middle class while redistributing about $500 billion in wealth every year to
major employers and newly arrived immigrants. Similarly, research has revealed
how Americans’ wages are crushed by the country’s high
immigration levels.” JOHN BINDER
CALIFORNIA'S POPULATION TO DOUBLE
from ILLEGALS along with their CRIME
RATES!
Times Staff Writers
Over the next
half-century, California's
population will
explode by nearly 75%, and
Riverside will surpass
its bigger neighbors to
become the second most
populous county after
Los Angeles, according to
state Department of
Finance projections
released Monday.
California will near
the 60-million mark in 2050, the study found, raising questions about how
the state will look and function and where all the people and their cars will
go. Dueling visions pit the iconic California building block of ranch house,
big yard and two-car garage against more dense, high-rise development. But
whether sprawl or skyscrapers win the day, the Golden State will probably be a
far different and more complex place than it is today, as people live longer
and Latinos become the dominant ethnic group, eclipsing all others combined.
Some critics forecast disaster if gridlock and environmental impacts are not
averted. Others see a possible economic boon, particularly for retailers and
service industries with an eye on the state as a burgeoning market. "It's
opportunity with baggage," said Jack Kyser, chief economist for the Los
Angeles County Economic Development Corp., in "a country masquerading as a
state. "Other demographers argue that the huge population increase the
state predicts will occur only if officials complete major improvements to
roads and other public infrastructure. Without that investment, they say, some
Californians would flee the state. If the finance department's calculations
hold, California's population will rise from 34.1 million in 2000 to 59.5
million at the mid-century point, about the same number of people as Italy has
today. And its projected growth rate in those 50 years will outstrip the
national rate — nearly 75% compared with less than 50% projected by the federal
government. That could translate to increased political clout in Washington,
D.C. Southern California's population is projected to grow at a rate of more
than 60%, according to the new state figures, reaching 31.6 million by
mid-century. That's an increase of 12.1 million over just seven counties. L.A.
County alone will top 13 million by 2050, an increase of almost 3.5 million
residents. And Riverside County — long among the fastest-growing in the state —
will triple in population to 4.7 million by mid-century. Riverside County will
add 3.1 million people, according to the new state figures, eclipsing Orange
and San Diego to become the second most populous in the state. With less
expensive housing than the coast, Riverside County has grown by more than
472,000 residents since 2000, according to state estimates. No matter how much
local governments build in the way of public works and how many new jobs are
attracted to the region — minimizing the need for long commutes — Housing
figures that growth will still overwhelm the area's roads. USC Professor
Genevieve Giuliano, an expert on land use and transportation, would probably
agree. Such massive growth, if it occurs, she said, will require huge
investment in the state's highways, schools, and energy and sewer systems at a
"very formidable cost."If those things aren't built, Giuliano
questioned whether the projected population increases will occur. "Sooner
or later, the region will not be competitive and the growth is not going to
happen," she said.If major problems like traffic congestion and housing
costs aren't addressed, Giuliano warned, the middle class is going to exit
California, leaving behind very high-income and very low-income residents.
"It's a political question," said Martin Wachs, a transportation
expert at the Rand Corp. in Santa Monica. "Do we have the will, the
consensus, the willingness to pay? If we did, I think we could manage the
growth. "The numbers released Monday underscore most demographers' view
that the state's population is pushing east, from both Los Angeles and the Bay
Area, to counties such as Riverside and San Bernardino as well as half a dozen
or so smaller Central Valley counties. Sutter County, for example, is expected
to be the fastest-growing on a percentage basis between 2000 and 2050, jumping
255% to a population of 282,894 , the state said. Kern County is expected to
see its population more than triple to 2.1 million by mid-century. In Southern
California, San Diego County is projected to grow by almost 1.7 million
residents and Orange County by 1.1 million. Even Ventura County — where voters
have imposed some limits on urban sprawl — will see its population jump 62% to
more than 1.2 million if the projections hold. The Department of Finance
releases long-term population projections every three years. Between the last
two reports, number crunchers have taken a more detailed look at California's
statistics and taken into account the likelihood that people will live longer,
said chief demographer Mary Heim. The result? The latest numbers figure the
state will be much more crowded than earlier estimates (by nearly 5 million)
and that it will take a bit longer than previously thought for Latinos to
become the majority of California's population: 2042, not 2038. The figures
show that the majority
of California's growth
will be in the Latino population, said
Dowell Myers, a professor
of urban planning and demography
at USC, adding that
"68% of the growth this decade will be
Latino, 75% next and 80%
after that."That should be a wake-up call for voting Californians, Myers
said, pointing out a critical disparity. Though the state's growth is young and
Latino, the majority of voters will be older and white — at least for the next
decade." The future of the state is Latino growth," Myers said.
"We'd sure better invest in them and get them up to speed. Older white
voters don't see it that way. They don't realize that someone has to replace
them in the work force, pay for their benefits and buy their house."
MULTI-CULTURALISM and the
creation of a one-party globalist country to serve the rich in America’s open
borders.
http://mexicanoccupation.blogspot.com/2017/12/em-cadwaladr-impending-death-of.html
“Open border advocates, such as Facebook's Mark Zuckerberg, claim illegal
aliens are a net benefit to California with little evidence to support such an
assertion. As the CIS has documented, the vast majority of illegals are poor,
uneducated, and with few skills. How does accepting millions of illegal aliens
and then granting them access to dozens of welfare programs benefit
California’s economy? If illegals were contributing to the economy in any
meaningful way, CA, with its 2.6 million illegals, would be booming.” STEVE
BALDWIN – AMERICAN SPECTATOR
CHRISTIAN SCIENCE MONITOR
What will America stand for in 2050?
http://www.csmonitor.com/2009/0528/p09s01-coop.html
The US should think long and hard about the high number of
Latino immigrants.
By Lawrence Harrison
It's not just a
short-run issue of immigrants competing with citizens for jobs as unemployment
approaches 10 percent or the number of uninsured straining the quality of
healthcare. Heavy immigration from Latin America threatens our cohesiveness as a
nation.
MEXICO WILL DOUBLE U.S.
POPULATION
By Tom Barrett
At the current rate of
invasion (mostly through Mexico, but also through Canada) the United States
will be completely over run with illegal aliens by the year 2025. I’m not
talking about legal immigrants who follow US law to become citizens. In less
than 20 years, if we do not stop the invasion, ILLEGAL aliens and their
offspring will be the dominant population in the United States.
http://mexicanoccupation.blogspot.com/2018/07/mexico-will-double-us-population.html
FINISHING AMERICA OFF: THE
FOREIGN INVASION FOR “CHEAP” LABOR
http://mexicanoccupation.blogspot.com/2018/09/the-fall-of-america-by-invitation-tens.html
Open the floodgates of our
welfare state to the uneducated, impoverished, and unskilled masses of the
world and in a generation or three America, as we know it, will be gone. JOHN
BINDER
But many
less-skilled migrants play their largest role by simply shifting small slices
of wealth from person to person, for example, by competing up rents in their
neighborhood or by competing down wages in their workplace. The crudest
examples can be seen in agriculture.
Overall, the
Washington-imposed economic policy of economic growth via immigration shifts wealth
from young people towards older people by flooding the market
with cheap white-collar and blue-collar foreign labor.
"Critics argue that
giving amnesty to 12 to 30 million illegal aliens in the U.S. would have an
immediate negative impact on America’s working and middle class — specifically
black Americans and the white working class — who would be in direct
competition for blue-collar jobs with the largely low-skilled illegal alien
population." JOHN BINDER
The
U.S.-born baby is, of course, a U.S. citizen, whose illegal alien parents are
eligible to receive, on the baby’s behalf, food stamps, nutrition from the
Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) program, and numerous tax benefits,
including the EITC.
Most
importantly, the newborn is deportation insurance for its parents. Illegal
aliens facing deportation can argue that to deport one or more parents would
create an “extreme hardship” for the new baby. If an immigration officer
agrees, we’ve added a new adult to the nation’s population. At age 21 the former
birthright citizen baby can formally apply for green cards for parents and
siblings, and they, in turn, can start their own immigration chains.
US now has
more Spanish speakers than Spain – only Mexico has more
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/jun/29/us-second-biggest-spanish-speaking-country
·
US has 41 million native
speakers plus 11 million who are bilingual
·
New Mexico, California, Texas
and Arizona have highest concentrations