Earlier, by Steve Sailer: How Much More Homicidal Are Blacks Than Whites? 7.4x More Like the Obama Administration Said, or 11.7x More?
What with race and law enforcement being much in the news this month, you might think we’d see more reference to the most authoritative official statistics on the subject. Here are the latest FBI statistics on murder offenders by race:
At this point, 29.5% of 2018 murderers are of unknown race, whether because the case hasn’t been cleared yet or because the local agency didn’t get around to reporting the race to the federal government.
Of the 11,514 murder offenders in 2018 where the race of the offender is known by now, 6,318 of the offenders were black: 54.9%.
Blacks make up 13.4% of the population at present.
So, blacks in 2018 were 7.9 times more likely per capita to be murder offenders than the rest of the population.
Here’s how to do the arithmetic:
(54.9% / 13.4%) / ((100% – 54.9%) / (100% – 13.4%))
In recent generations, this black to all else homicide offender ratio goes up and down somewhat, depending upon what drugs are hot, the political climate, and so forth, but usually winds up a little under 8X. For example, in 2011 the Obama Administration’s Bureau of Justice Statistics reported that blacks made up 52.5% of homicide offenders over the 29 years from 1980 to 2008:
These stats would seem rather relevant to current discussions, but for some reason, the just never see to come up…
Earlier: FBI Data: Blacks, Who Are Only 13.4% of the Population, Were 54.9% of Known Murder Offenders in 2018
iSteve commenter Mr. Blank says in response to my posting official FBI crime statistics showing that blacks are 7.9 times as likely as the rest of the population to be a murder offender in 2018:
From time to time, I’ve been tempted to post figures like this in response to some of the crazier stuff my lefty friends have been putting on social media lately. Because the way they’ve been talking lately, it seems like they really are completely ignorant of all this stuff.But I always stop myself, because I think about it for a moment and realize, “of course they know this stuff.” The way they conduct themselves and order their lives testifies to the fact that they are perfectly aware of these facts. (Though one occasionally runs across a true believer who REALLY IS completely unaware of the facts, those people tend to have pretty short lifespans.)When I was growing up, it used to be that everybody knew this stuff, but it was considered poor taste to mention it publicly. But everybody — black, white, liberal, conservative — knew the facts. It wasn’t talked about, but nobody pretended it wasn’t true.But now we have to navigate an additional level of protective stupidity, where not only are we not supposed to mention the truth, but we are supposed to make a great show of being utterly ignorant of it — while simultaneously retaining enough awareness of the truth to behave in ways conducive to self-preservation.I don’t know how people can live this way without going crazy. I look at my lefty friends, and they seem so normal and well-adjusted. I don’t know how they can keep all those plates spinning in their heads without eventually suffering a nervous breakdown. But then again, maybe that explains what we’re seeing now…
Has anybody ever studied these questions?
One reason I pay attention to government crime statistics and the like is because I don’t have particularly adept natural instincts. I’m not good at tacit knowledge. To know something, I usually need to articulate it. I’m especially not good at doublethink. I only have room for one set of truths in my head.
A lot of people seem more functional than I am. The know these hatestats when buying a house in a fashionable neighborhood. But they don’t know these stats if any were so gauche as to mention the numbers. But on the other hand, we are watching our society plunge into dysfunction because people’s doublethink capabilities are breaking down under the long assault on Implicit Bias and the like.
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