Bad as that outcome may seem, it will probably be much worse. Credible analyses, using additional and more reliable data, have computed estimates of 20 million and more likely 25-30 million illegals already inside the borders.
“The figures show that the majority of California's growth will be in the Latino population, said Dowell Myers, a professor of urban planning and demography at USC, adding that "68% of the growth this decade will be Latino, 75% next and 80% after that.”
MULTI-CULTURALISM and the creation of a one-party globalist country to serve the rich in America’s open borders.
http://mexicanoccupation.blogspot.com/2017/12/em-cadwaladr-impending-death-of.html
“Open border advocates, such as Facebook's Mark Zuckerberg, claim illegal aliens are a net benefit to California with little evidence to support such an assertion. As the CIS has documented, the vast majority of illegals are poor, uneducated, and with few skills. How does accepting millions of illegal aliens and then granting them access to dozens of welfare programs benefit California’s economy? If illegals were contributing to the economy in any meaningful way, CA, with its 2.6 million illegals, would be booming.” STEVE BALDWIN – AMERICAN SPECTATOR
CHRISTIAN SCIENCE MONITOR
What will America stand for in 2050?
http://www.csmonitor.com/2009/0528/p09s01-coop.html
The US should think long and hard about the high number of Latino immigrants.
By Lawrence Harrison
It's not just a short-run issue of immigrants competing with citizens for jobs as unemployment approaches 10 percent or the number of uninsured straining the quality of healthcare. Heavy immigration from Latin America threatens our cohesiveness as a nation.
MEXICO WILL DOUBLE U.S. POPULATION
By Tom Barrett
At the current rate of invasion (mostly through Mexico, but also through Canada) the United States will be completely over run with illegal aliens by the year 2025. I’m not talking about legal immigrants who follow US law to become citizens. In less than 20 years, if we do not stop the invasion, ILLEGAL aliens and their offspring will be the dominant population in the United States.
http://mexicanoccupation.blogspot.com/2018/07/mexico-will-double-us-population.html
FINISHING AMERICA OFF: THE FOREIGN INVASION FOR “CHEAP” LABOR
http://mexicanoccupation.blogspot.com/2018/09/the-fall-of-america-by-invitation-tens.html
Open the floodgates of our welfare state to the uneducated, impoverished, and unskilled masses of the world and in a generation or three America, as we know it, will be gone. JOHN BINDER
But many less-skilled migrants play their largest role by simply shifting small slices of wealth from person to person, for example, by competing up rents in their neighborhood or by competing down wages in their workplace. The crudest examples can be seen in agriculture.
Overall, the Washington-imposed economic policy of economic growth via immigration shifts wealth from young people towards older people by flooding the market with cheap white-collar and blue-collar foreign labor.
"Critics argue that giving amnesty to 12 to 30 million illegal aliens in the U.S. would have an immediate negative impact on America’s working and middle class — specifically black Americans and the white working class — who would be in direct competition for blue-collar jobs with the largely low-skilled illegal alien population." JOHN BINDER
The U.S.-born baby is, of course, a U.S. citizen, whose illegal alien parents are eligible to receive, on the baby’s behalf, food stamps, nutrition from the Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) program, and numerous tax benefits, including the EITC.
Most importantly, the newborn is deportation insurance for its parents. Illegal aliens facing deportation can argue that to deport one or more parents would create an “extreme hardship” for the new baby. If an immigration officer agrees, we’ve added a new adult to the nation’s population. At age 21 the former birthright citizen baby can formally apply for green cards for parents and siblings, and they, in turn, can start their own immigration chains.
US now has more Spanish speakers than Spain – only Mexico has more
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/jun/29/us-second-biggest-spanish-speaking-country
· US has 41 million native speakers plus 11 million who are bilingual
· New Mexico, California, Texas and Arizona have highest concentrations
We’re supposed to believe that
only 11million illegal immigrants
are in the USA and that the
number has been the same since
2003
Some numbers are constants, a fixed numeric value established by physics, mathematics, geometry, law, literature, or logic. They never change. For example, π (pi, 3.1416), the Ten Commandments, the Three Musketeers, 12 inches in a foot, and 11 million illegal aliens.
That’s right, eleven million illegal aliens in the United States. In recent years we have seen once-immutable values changed before our eyes – nine planets, two sexes, and more. But since 2003, the number of unauthorized aliens present, illegally (need to emphasize that), in our supposedly sovereign nation has been wired in at 11 million. With little sense of media curiosity, or fact checking, that number, primarily sourced by a left-leaning research group (Pew) and copied by others, has remained a constant.
For nearly two decades now we must believe that the waves of unconstrained illegal entries in the Bush and Obama years, the unenforced overstays, and the catch-and-release judicial free passes have not altered the number one digit. Pew, the Census Bureau, even some supposedly anti-immigration groups like the Center for Immigration Studies, suggest the mostly unchecked inflow has somehow been balanced by some unknown depopulation. We must have missed the plague that has selectively decimated the illegal populace, or the traffic jams that choked the southbound Rio Grande bridges.
With Joe Biden now in the White House, probably wondering where, and the open-borders Democrats in complete control of the government, that supposedly fixed number of illegal aliens has now become a coefficient for legislative policy and executive action. The Democrat puppeteers who pull Biden’s strings are going to make them all citizens – vote wielding, job stealing, crime concealing, welfare dealing citizens. That’s 11 million of them, the eighth largest state, matching Ohio’s 18 Electoral College votes. That’s what’s coming, and there’s not much you can do about it.
Bad as that outcome may seem, it will probably be much worse. Credible analyses, using additional and more reliable data, have computed estimates of 20 million and more likely 25-30 million illegals already inside the borders. And even that could be low. Liberal judges have decreed that you can’t even ask one’s citizen status on the Census questionnaire.
The Census and Pew use methodology that would embarrass an honest statistician. It goes like this: the number of illegal immigrants equals the total number of immigrants minus the number of legal immigrants. But since we don’t know the number of total immigrants because it includes an unknown number of illegal immigrants, we’ll make a guess. The fancy name for this process is called the “Residual Method of Estimation.” Real people and third grade arithmetic students would call it “a guess,” better, a WAG.
As the Biden kakistocracy rushes recklessly and gleefully into this new amnesty, let history provide a lesson. The last amnesty was in the Reagan era, the Immigration Reform and Control Act (IRCA) of 1986. The now defunct Immigration and Naturalization Service (INS) officials tasked with implementing the IRCA later testified they used the Congressional claim of 800,000-1 million illegals assumed present for amnesty. Then they conservatively planned for up to 1.5 million applicants. The INS manager was later quoted, “. . . (the actual) 3.1 million applicants overall, blew our minds. The fraud in that program was out of sight!” 2.7 million eventually received amnesty, over three times the original lawmakers’ estimates. So, will the immutable 11 million candidates for amnesty today morph into 30 plus million applicants tomorrow? There is that precedent.
Under the dictatorial Biden regime, there is probably not much we can do to stop this next diminution of democracy and law. Soon there will be millions of new voters in line with us at the polls or trying to jam handfuls of harvested ballots into the unguarded mailbox. A positive note – there won’t be a need for massive vote fraud anymore.
But maybe we can try to limit the damage. If Biden, Pew, the media, and the Democrats insist that there are only those immutable 11 million illegals, then let’s limit amnesty and citizenship to that, exactly 11 million. Put it in the law. Not a single one more. The excess we are assured doesn’t exist, so let’s deport them when they come in for their naturalization certificate and voter registration card.
As the Biden amnesty works its unimpeded way toward reality, there is a deafening silence from the Republican establishment and elites. Of course, many of them are of like mind with regard to open borders and the cheap labor that their corporate and Chamber of Commerce donors relish. Ensconced in their political ramparts and secure in their gated communities, the plight of the American carpenter or the rocket scientist who will be replaced by the tens of millions of manufactured citizens is not of their concern.
The American people once thought there were only two sexes, and that the science backed them up. Soon they will learn that there aren’t just 11 million illegal aliens hiding in the shadows, but multiples more, about push them aside at the workplace, the polling place, their living space, and every facet of their lives and livelihoods.
Another numeric constant fades away for political expediency and advantage, and the ruling class doesn’t care. What’s next? 11 in a dozen? Binary means 3? π =2.36?
My two cents worth. Uh, make that three.
Tents in South Texas
Down in South Texas, we are seeing a surge in illegal immigrants, according to new information reported in the New York Post:
The Biden administration is facing fresh spikes of over 100 percent in illegal border crossings from this time last year and has opened another tent city to detain illegal immigrants in Texas, US Customs and Border Protection has announced.
The Border Patrol revealed in a report released Wednesday that the number of migrants apprehended at the border in the month of January reached nearly 78,000, up from 36,679 in January 2020.
Single adult Mexican citizens accounted for more than 37,000 CBP encounters, a 119 percent increase from this time last year, according to the agency.
Single adult males? I thought that it was about unifying families and their children.
The Biden administration is carrying out a policy that was not fully disclosed during the campaign. Does anyone remember Biden saying that he'd building tents to bring people into the country?
Eventually, and sooner rather than later, this is going to explode into a mess that Biden will not be able to control. Unfortunately, the people in Central America were encouraged to come north and they came north.
Migrants Flooded the Border in 2019 — Census Bureau Claims the Inflow Dropped
The Census Bureau claims that immigration dropped to just 595,000 people in the 12 months up to mid-2019, but the estimate is built on conflicting data, said Steven Camarota, a statistician at the Center for Immigration Studies.
“Net immigration is a very hard thing to measure because there is so much sampling variability” amid continued arrivals and departures, he said, adding that President Donald Trump’s pro-American policies may be prompting illegal migrants to evade surveys.
The bureau’s conflicting migrant population estimates are hidden under the bureau’s claim that the nation’s population rose by just 0.5 percent from July 2018 to July 2019, up to 328 million. The number is low partly because the bureau says the resident population of legal and illegal migrants rose by only 595,000 during the year up to July 2019.
But the Department of Homeland Security reported that 700,000 migrants crossed the southeastern border in the nine months before July 2019. The vast majority of those Central American migrants were allowed to stay pending their eventual asylum hearings.
That inflow of 700,000 migrants does not include the inflow of many illegal immigrants, the inflow of people who overstay their visas, nor the back-and-forth flow of roughly two million white-collar and blue-collar temporary workers, nor the legal immigrant inflow that has been about one million per year, even as 3.8 million new Americans were born during the same period.
Trump sharply reduced the flow of border migrants in the second half of 2019 and may have reduced the number of new overstays and new illegals. But Congress and business have blocked his 2018 efforts to shrink legal immigration.
Business groups and investors want the federal government to stimulate their economic growth and stock values by adding more immigrant workers and more consumers. Faster population growth means higher forecasts for economic consumption, sales, housing prices, and profits, thus boosting the value of stock prices on Wall Street.
So business groups are touting the bureau’s new low-ball estimate to demand even more migration. For example, the New York Times portrayed the bureau’s new claim of slow immigrant growth as bad for investors and the economy:
William H. Frey, a noted demographer and senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, said in an interview Monday that the percentage increase was the lowest in a century. The growth rate during the most recent decade, about 6.7 percent, is expected to be the lowest since the government started taking population counts around 1790, he said.
“This is a huge downturn in the nation’s growth,” Mr. Frey said. “This is even lower than the Great Depression.”
Census watchers say that one of the biggest reasons for the stagnancy of the population is the decrease in the number of new immigrants. a trend that has continued through President Trump’s first three years in office.
“The immigration is really the [economic] safety valve for us going forward,” Mr. Frey said of population growth. “I think that immigration is an important part of what we have to think about going forward.”
In contrast, wage-earning Americans gain from a reduced migrant inflow. Any declines in worker population pressure employers to compete for new employees by offering higher wages and by training sidelined Americans. The slower population growth also allows young Americans to migrate to good jobs in other regions, and to buy homes in good locations at lower costs. Slower population growth also forces employers to buy labor-saving machines to allow employees to earn more by getting more work done each day.
Those changes also mean that slower population growth — via lower births or reduced immigration — also tends to transfer wealth from older investors back to young wage-earners. “Throughout American history, even during the Great Depression, business always says they don’t have enough workers,” said Camarota, adding:
That’s true today as well – [because] they always want to keep wages down [and] they have an [economic] interest in an ever-more densely populated America. Whether that is in the interest of the American people already here that is a different question.
Neil Munro
✔@NeilMunroDC
Almost 50% of U.S. employees got higher wages in 2019, up from almost 40% in 2018.
That's useful progress - but wage growth will likely rise faster if Congress stopped inflating the labor supply for the benefit of business. http://bit.ly/2SyaLg7
However, the Associated Press pushed the same pro-migration, pro-growth theme. “Immigration is a wildcard in that it is something we can do something about,” Frey said. “Immigrants tend to be younger and have children, and they can make a population younger.”
“Immigration is no fix for an aging society,” said Camarota. “The immigrants grow old, and they don’t have that many children.” Currently, “everybody has got low fertility … and the fertility of young immigrants has declined more than the fertility of natives,” he said.
Some of the population data is easy to count accurately. For example, government agencies and hospitals reported just 3,791,712 births and 2,835,038 deaths in 2019, so boosting the native-born population by only 956,674.
But estimates for immigration are far more difficult, said Camarota.
For example, the two Census Bureau population-tracking estimates lag far behind the news.
In November, the bureau released its 2018 American Community Survey that excluded data from the second half of 2018 and all of 2019. So the 2018 report missed the inflow of roughly 800,000 migrants across the border in 2019 as it reported that 1.45 million new legal and illegal immigrants settled in the United States during 2017.
The estimated 1.45 million immigrant inflow in 2017 is down from 1.75 million migrants in 2016 and the 1.62 million migrants in 2015, but it was also more than any year between 2002 to 2013.
Alongside the ACS, the bureau also releases the Current Population Survey (CPS). It “showed a significantly larger total number of [legal and illegal] immigrants in 2018 (45.8 million) vs. the total shown in the ACS (44.7 million),” said a November analysis by Camarota.
“A recent news story in the New York Times announced that growth in the immigrant population “Slows to a Trickle,” said an October report by CIS, which explained:
An op-ed in the Times a few weeks later went even further, mistakenly interpreting the earlier report as meaning that “immigration fell 70%” in the last year. The writers interpret this as the result of President Trump’s immigration policy changes.
But it is not clear that any slowdown in immigration has actually taken place.
First, growth in the immigrant population does not measure new arrivals; immigrants come and go, so the net change in the total is not the same as the annual number of new arrivals.
More important, though, is that the two Census Bureau surveys that measure the foreign-born have recently diverged in unexpected ways. The Times news story correctly reports the results of one of those data sources, the American Community Survey (ACS), showing a growth of 200,000 immigrants. But the other data source, the Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement (CPS ASEC, or just CPS for short), shows an increase of 1.6 million in the immigrant population between 2017 and 2018 – quite the opposite of “slowing to a trickle”.
These annual differences produce larger differences over several years, said the CIS report:
In terms of growth, the ACS shows a 4.8 million increase from 2010 to 2018 in the immigrant population, while the [2018] CPS shows a 6.9 million increase over the same period. The just-released 2019 CPS shows an increase of 7.3 million since 2010 …
From 2015 to 2019, growth in the immigrant population averaged one million in the CPS, while in the ACS it averaged 600,000 from 2015 to 2018 (Figure 1 and Table 1).
Neil Munro
✔@NeilMunroDC
NYT's Tom Edsall says Trump's immigration-reform voters are 'snakes and vermin.'
Edsall usually tries to understand ordinary Americans' concerns. But he & his elite peers live in a bubble & just don't see immigration's huge economic damage to Americans.http://bit.ly/2YQO7Aq
"When we hear stories about the homelessness in California and elsewhere, why don't we hear how illegal aliens contribute to the problem? They take jobs and affordable housing, yet instead of discouraging illegal aliens from breaking the law, politicians encourage them to come by lavishing free stuff on them with confiscated dollars from this and future generations." JACK HELLNER
“Extensive research by economists like George Borjas and analyst Steven Camarota reveals that the country’s current mass legal immigration system burdens U.S. taxpayers and America’s working and middle class while redistributing about $500 billion in wealth every year to major employers and newly arrived immigrants. Similarly, research has revealed how Americans’ wages are crushed by the country’s high immigration levels.” JOHN BINDER
CALIFORNIA'S POPULATION TO DOUBLE from ILLEGALS along with their CRIME RATES!
Times Staff Writers
Over the next half-century, California's population will explode by nearly 75%, and Riverside will surpass its bigger neighbors to
become the second most populous county after Los Angeles, according to state Department of
Finance projections released Monday.
California will near the 60-million mark in 2050, the study found, raising questions about how the state will look and function and where all the people and their cars will go. Dueling visions pit the iconic California building block of ranch house, big yard and two-car garage against more dense, high-rise development. But whether sprawl or skyscrapers win the day, the Golden State will probably be a far different and more complex place than it is today, as people live longer and Latinos become the dominant ethnic group, eclipsing all others combined. Some critics forecast disaster if gridlock and environmental impacts are not averted. Others see a possible economic boon, particularly for retailers and service industries with an eye on the state as a burgeoning market. "It's opportunity with baggage," said Jack Kyser, chief economist for the Los Angeles County Economic Development Corp., in "a country masquerading as a state. "Other demographers argue that the huge population increase the state predicts will occur only if officials complete major improvements to roads and other public infrastructure. Without that investment, they say, some Californians would flee the state. If the finance department's calculations hold, California's population will rise from 34.1 million in 2000 to 59.5 million at the mid-century point, about the same number of people as Italy has today. And its projected growth rate in those 50 years will outstrip the national rate — nearly 75% compared with less than 50% projected by the federal government. That could translate to increased political clout in Washington, D.C. Southern California's population is projected to grow at a rate of more than 60%, according to the new state figures, reaching 31.6 million by mid-century. That's an increase of 12.1 million over just seven counties. L.A. County alone will top 13 million by 2050, an increase of almost 3.5 million residents. And Riverside County — long among the fastest-growing in the state — will triple in population to 4.7 million by mid-century. Riverside County will add 3.1 million people, according to the new state figures, eclipsing Orange and San Diego to become the second most populous in the state. With less expensive housing than the coast, Riverside County has grown by more than 472,000 residents since 2000, according to state estimates. No matter how much local governments build in the way of public works and how many new jobs are attracted to the region — minimizing the need for long commutes — Housing figures that growth will still overwhelm the area's roads. USC Professor Genevieve Giuliano, an expert on land use and transportation, would probably agree. Such massive growth, if it occurs, she said, will require huge investment in the state's highways, schools, and energy and sewer systems at a "very formidable cost."If those things aren't built, Giuliano questioned whether the projected population increases will occur. "Sooner or later, the region will not be competitive and the growth is not going to happen," she said.If major problems like traffic congestion and housing costs aren't addressed, Giuliano warned, the middle class is going to exit California, leaving behind very high-income and very low-income residents. "It's a political question," said Martin Wachs, a transportation expert at the Rand Corp. in Santa Monica. "Do we have the will, the consensus, the willingness to pay? If we did, I think we could manage the growth. "The numbers released Monday underscore most demographers' view that the state's population is pushing east, from both Los Angeles and the Bay Area, to counties such as Riverside and San Bernardino as well as half a dozen or so smaller Central Valley counties. Sutter County, for example, is expected to be the fastest-growing on a percentage basis between 2000 and 2050, jumping 255% to a population of 282,894 , the state said. Kern County is expected to see its population more than triple to 2.1 million by mid-century. In Southern California, San Diego County is projected to grow by almost 1.7 million residents and Orange County by 1.1 million. Even Ventura County — where voters have imposed some limits on urban sprawl — will see its population jump 62% to more than 1.2 million if the projections hold. The Department of Finance releases long-term population projections every three years. Between the last two reports, number crunchers have taken a more detailed look at California's statistics and taken into account the likelihood that people will live longer, said chief demographer Mary Heim. The result? The latest numbers figure the state will be much more crowded than earlier estimates (by nearly 5 million) and that it will take a bit longer than previously thought for Latinos to become the majority of California's population: 2042, not 2038. The figures show that the majority
of California's growth will be in the Latino population, said
Dowell Myers, a professor of urban planning and demography
at USC, adding that "68% of the growth this decade will be
Latino, 75% next and 80% after that."That should be a wake-up call for voting Californians, Myers said, pointing out a critical disparity. Though the state's growth is young and Latino, the majority of voters will be older and white — at least for the next decade." The future of the state is Latino growth," Myers said. "We'd sure better invest in them and get them up to speed. Older white voters don't see it that way. They don't realize that someone has to replace them in the work force, pay for their benefits and buy their house."
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